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This article studies whether pure legality, stripped of normative components that are central to the rule of law, can convey perceived legitimacy to governmental institutions and activity. Through a survey experiment conducted among urban Chinese residents, it examines whether such conveyance is possible under current sociopolitical conditions in which the party-state continues to invest in pure legality without imposing legal checks on the party leadership’s political power and without corresponding investment in substantive rights or freedoms. Among survey respondents, government investment in professional and consistent law enforcement conveys meaningful amounts of political legitimacy. In fact, it does so even when it supports government activity, such as censorship of online speech, that is freedom depriving and socially controversial and even when such investment does not necessarily enhance the external predictability of state behavior. However, the legitimacy-enhancing effects of pure legality are likely weaker than those of state investment in procedural justice.

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The Journal of Legal Studies
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Yiqing Xu
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Heather Rahimi
Hanwen Zhang
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On March 27–29, 2026, researchers, policymakers, and practitioners from across China, the United States, and Europe gathered at the Irish College Leuven for the third annual International Symposium on Early Childhood Development in Rural China. Co-sponsored by KU Leuven and the Stanford Rural Education Action Program (REAP), the three-day event brought together leading voices in early childhood development (ECD) to cultivate connections, share evidence, exchange perspectives, and explore pathways for scaling effective interventions to improve child development in rural communities.

Presentations and discussions over the two days coalesced around several interconnected themes: reaching families through China's existing primary healthcare infrastructure, supporting the caregivers at the heart of child development, scaling proven interventions through technology and implementation science, and translating research into meaningful policy action.

Reaching Families Through Primary Healthcare


China's primary healthcare system is both far-reaching and well-structured, and a growing body of research suggests it represents one of the most promising vehicles for delivering ECD interventions to families in rural areas. A central thread running through the symposium was that the infrastructure already exists; the challenge lies in making better use of it. This view was echoed by local pediatricians and preventative care representatives among the attendees, who brought frontline perspectives to the conversation.

Presentations from researchers at Shanghai Jiao Tong University explored how caregiver training group activities can be embedded within routine primary child healthcare services, and how digital technologies can be deployed within clinic settings to extend the reach and consistency of ECD support. Research from Zhejiang University complemented this by examining how child growth monitoring, a standard feature of preventive care, can be strengthened as both an evidence base and a practical touchpoint for developmental support.

Not only are preventive care and early intervention more cost-effective than reactive approaches in the long run, but they also provide better safeguards for the wellbeing of mothers and children. China's existing primary care infrastructure has the potential to deliver such preventive care at scale.

Supporting Children by Supporting Caregivers


Another strong theme presented was the importance of directing attention and resources toward caregivers themselves, not only the children in their care. This focus is central to REAP's own intervention work, and it was reflected throughout the symposium's presentations and discussions. Multiple speakers highlighted that the wellbeing, knowledge, and confidence of parents and other caregivers are among the most important determinants of early childhood outcomes.

Importantly, conversations went beyond training primary caregivers of children, who in Chinese households are typically mothers or grandmothers . Speakers discussed how to help different caregivers work together more effectively, and how to bring other family members — especially fathers and other male relatives — more meaningfully into the picture. This broader conception of caregiver support recognizes that child development happens within families and households, not just in the hands of a primary caregiver.

Several presentations underscored the need for integrated approaches that treat caregiver mental health and wellbeing as a core component of ECD programming rather than an afterthought, with evidence suggesting that well-designed interventions can produce durable changes in caregiver behavior and child outcomes. Research on complementary feeding practices added a further dimension, demonstrating how behavioral nudge approaches can shift caregiving practices around infant nutrition. The consistent message across these sessions was that investing in caregivers is investing in children.

Scaling What Works: The Role of Technology and Implementation Science


Perhaps the most forward-looking dimension of the symposium concerned the question of scale. A recurring challenge in ECD research is the gap between what works in controlled settings and what can be sustained and expanded across vast, heterogeneous rural populations. In a country as large as China, even the most cost-effective intervention will fall short of its potential without government funding and commitment to sustain it. Several presentations tackled this challenge directly, with a shared understanding that the responsibility of researchers is not only to develop effective programs, but to build the evidence base that demonstrates their value to policymakers.

Researchers from Stanford University presented findings from  two randomized controlled trials, examining how digital support tools and group parenting models can help upscale parenting interventions while retaining their effectiveness. A presentation from Sean Sylvia at the University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill introduced the Healthy Future Platform, which uses AI-enhanced curriculum delivery to support community health workers. The researchers share the vision that technology can deliver behavioral interventions more consistently and better tailor them to the needs of individuals.

Implementation science featured prominently too, with researchers presenting a framework for evaluating ECD programs not just on their outcomes but on the conditions that enable real-world adoption. Complementing this, cost-effectiveness analysis from researchers at Shanghai Jiao Tong University offered policymakers a concrete basis for prioritizing investments in primary-level ECD support — an increasingly important contribution as the field makes its case for government-backed scale-up.

Policy Dialogue: Building Bridges Between Evidence and Action


The symposium brought together not only academics but analysts from China's National Health Commission and other implementing organizations. This mix of voices gave the event a practical orientation that went beyond the research findings themselves. The participation of government representatives was itself a meaningful signal, reflecting both the importance China places on ECD and a genuine openness to hearing what scientists have to say about how to improve outcomes for young children and their families.

Discussions returned repeatedly to the question of how evidence generated in research settings can be translated into durable government policy and frontline practice. The presence of international participants underscored the global relevance of the questions being asked, and the value of cross-national dialogue in shaping the field.

Looking Ahead


The formal program of the symposium closed on March 28, but conversations continued on March 29 as participants strengthened old friendships and formed new connections on the group visit to Brussels. These conversations reflected a shared recognition that the challenges ahead — scaling proven interventions, sustaining political commitment, and bridging research and practice — require not just strong evidence, but strong networks of people committed to acting on it.



About the Organizers


The Stanford Rural Education Action Program (REAP) conducts research aimed at improving the lives of rural residents in China, with a particular focus on education, health, and early childhood development. KU Leuven is one of Europe's leading research universities and a longstanding partner in international development research.

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International Symposium on Early Childhood Development in Rural China
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The symposium brought together leading voices in early childhood development from across the world to cultivate connections, share evidence, exchange perspectives, and explore pathways for scaling effective interventions to improve child development in rural China.

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Skyline Scholars Series


Tuesday, April 14, 2026 | 12:00 pm -1:30 pm Pacific Time
Goldman Room E409, Encina Hall, 616 Jane Stanford Way

Registration for this seminar is now closed. 



Measuring Judicial Biases with Artificial Intelligence: Evidence from Chinese IP Litigations


How does judicial fairness in intellectual property (IP) litigations shape the incentives to innovate? This talk examines local bias in IP litigation and its consequences for firm-level innovation in China.

Using a dataset from China Judgements Online on Chinese IP court decisions from 2014–2020, a striking puzzle emerges: despite widespread concerns about local protectionism, non-local plaintiffs frequently win at higher rates than local ones. Two competing forces explain this — a "local protectionism effect," whereby local fiscal incentives bias courts toward local firms, and a "picket fence effect," whereby litigants anticipate bias and self-select out of bringing cases, quietly distorting the pool of disputes that reach the courtroom.

To cut through this identification challenge, researchers train an LLM–based "AI court'' on cases in which both plaintiff and defendant are non-local for which the incentives of local courts to bias either side are absent, generating counterfactual fair win-rates for all other disputes. Comparing observed and predicted win-rates reveals significant judicial bias. A 2019 reform centralizing appellate jurisdiction over a subset of IP cases, namely the technical cases, directly to the National Supreme Court shows that stronger central supervision substantially improves judicial accuracy and curtails bias — and measurably increases firm innovation.

The findings underscore that impartial courts are not just a procedural ideal, but a concrete driver of economic dynamism.



About the Speaker 
 

Hanming Fang

Professor Hanming Fang is an applied microeconomist with broad theoretical and empirical interests focusing on public economics. He is the Norman C. Grosman Professor of Economics at the University of Pennsylvania and a Skyline Scholar (April 2026) at the Stanford Center on China’s Economy and Institutions. His research integrates rigorous modeling with careful data analysis and has focused on the economic analysis of discrimination; insurance markets, particularly life insurance and health insurance; and health care, including Medicare. In his research on discrimination, Professor Fang has designed and implemented tests to examine the role of prejudice in racial disparities in matters involving search rates during highway stops, treatments received in emergency departments, and racial differences in parole releases. In 2008, Professor Fang was awarded the 17th Kenneth Arrow Prize by the International Health Economics Association (iHEA) for his research on the sources of advantageous selection in the Medigap insurance market.

Professor Fang is currently working on issues related to insurance markets, particularly the interaction between the health insurance reform and the labor market. He has served as co-editor for the Journal of Public Economics and International Economic Review, and associate editor in numerous journals, including the American Economic Review.

Professor Fang received his Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Pennsylvania in 2000. Before joining the Penn faculty, he held positions at Yale University and Duke University.  He is a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, where he served as the acting director of the Chinese Economy Working Group from 2014 to 2016. He is also a research associate of the Population Studies Center and Population Aging Research Center, and a senior fellow at the Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics at the University of Pennsylvania.



Questions? Contact Xinmin Zhao at xinminzhao@stanford.edu
 


Goldman Room E409, Encina Hall

Hanming Fang, Skyline Scholar (2026); Professor of Economics, University of Pennsylvania
Seminars
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Heather Rahimi
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The China Business Conundrum book cover by Kenneth Wilcox.

Headlines about foreign companies establishing a foothold in China only to fail years later no longer surprise anyone. But why does this keep happening? Kenneth Wilcox, former CEO of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) from 2001 to 2010 and author of The China Business Conundrum: Ensure that Win-Win Doesn't Mean Western Companies Lose Twice, argues that the answer comes down to mental models and preparation.

In a recent lecture hosted by the Stanford Center on China's Economy and Institutions, Wilcox explained that we all develop mental models — internal frameworks that help us interpret and navigate the world around us. We carry these models with us wherever we go, applying them instinctively to new situations and environments. The trouble, Wilcox argues, is that a mental model only holds up if the new environment resembles the one it was built for. And American mental models, more often than not, simply don't hold up in China.

Kenneth Wilcox headshot

Wilcox knows this firsthand. After a decade leading SVB, he and his wife moved to China in 2011 to open a Chinese branch of the bank. Things started smoothly enough — he secured a partnership with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank and obtained the necessary license — but it quickly became clear that the rules he'd spent his career following no longer applied. The license, for instance, permitted him to open the bank but barred him from conducting any business in renminbi, China's national currency, for the first three years. For a bank, this created an obvious problem: how do you pay staff, let alone operate, without access to local currency? The government's solution was a subsidy to cover operating costs during that period, along with an invitation to meet regularly with other banks and business leaders to share SVB's model and approach. After many such meetings, Wilcox's Chinese partners told him they had been so impressed with what they'd learned that they planned to open their own bank modeled on SVB's approach.

This, Wilcox explained, is a pattern that plays out with striking regularity in China. Foreign companies are lured in with the promise of a vast new market and eager local partners. They are then entangled in regulations and bureaucracy, kept afloat with subsidies while they wait for permission to operate more freely — all while their technology and intellectual property are quietly absorbed. Eventually, the foreign company is left with little choice but to close up and leave. Some companies see it happening but look the other way. Others don't recognize it until it's too late. Many never fully understand why they failed at all.

Wilcox traced all of this back to the limitations of mental models. American businesses tend to arrive in China assuming the environment will function more or less like home: keep your head down, stay out of politics, focus on the business, and you'll be fine. But that assumption doesn't hold in China, where the government and the Communist Party exert control over virtually every aspect of commercial life. The most powerful players routinely hold simultaneous roles — party member, bank executive, government official — all at once. It is precisely these unexamined assumptions, Wilcox concluded, that set so many Western ventures up to fail before they've even begun.

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Yiqing Xu and Hongbin Li sit on a stage during a SCCEI event.
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China's Test-based Education System is a Mirror of Society

Hongbin Li and Ruixue Jia joined Yiqing Xu for a fireside chat on their newly published book, "The Highest Exam: How the Gaokao Shapes China." Watch the recording and see event highlights.
China's Test-based Education System is a Mirror of Society
Hanming Fang presents in front of slides in a conference room.
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What Two Decades of Data Reveal About China’s Industrial Policy

At a SCCEI Seminar economist Hanming Fang presented a sweeping new analysis of how China’s industrial policies have evolved over the past 20 years. Using LLMs, the researchers compiled, codified, and analyzed nearly 3 million documents to build one of the most detailed databases of industrial policymaking in China to date.
What Two Decades of Data Reveal About China’s Industrial Policy
Group photo of students, staff, and faculty in China during the 2025 SCCEI China Study Program.
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Stanford Students Gain Firsthand Insights into China’s Economy, Culture, and Global Role

Led by Stanford faculty members, 20 Stanford students traveled across China engaging in academic exchanges, site visits to leading companies and institutions, and rich cultural experiences to gain a deeper understanding of the country’s economy, culture, and international relations.
Stanford Students Gain Firsthand Insights into China’s Economy, Culture, and Global Role
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Former Silicon Valley Bank CEO Kenneth Wilcox draws on his own experience launching SVB in China to illustrate how Western companies repeatedly fail in China because they rely on mental models built for home — assumptions about business, government, and rule of law that simply don't apply in the Chinese market.

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Encina Hall East, 4th Floor, E405
Stanford, CA 94305-6055

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Joshua Rosenzweig serves as Stanford Center on China's Economy and Institutions' Senior Associate Director, overseeing the center’s operations and administration. Before Stanford, Josh spent over a decade in Hong Kong, holding a series of leadership roles at Amnesty International's East Asia Regional Office. As Head of Office, he had executive oversight of operations for a team of 25–30 staff, and, as Deputy Regional Director, he directly managed teams of researchers and led the organization's Greater China program. He has also led research projects on labor practices in Chinese supply chains and on China's criminal justice system. Josh holds a Ph.D. in China Studies from the Chinese University of Hong Kong and speaks Mandarin at an advanced professional level.

Senior Associate Director, Stanford Center on China's Economy and Institutions
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Mental health symptoms are common among caregivers of young children in low-resource settings, yet access to psychological care remains limited due to shortages of specialists, low awareness, and stigma. This qualitative study explored the acceptability and appropriateness of delivering a postnatal mental health intervention for mothers through community and township health centers (CTHCs) in Shanghai, China. We conducted in-depth interviews with 50 mothers of children under 3 years of age, recruited from nine CTHCs and one parenting center, including both those with and without depressive symptoms. Data were analyzed using a rapid analysis approach to identify themes related to perceived values, burdens, motivations, and barriers to participation. Mothers valued interventions that aligned with their personal needs, addressed both parenting knowledge and mental health, offered emotional and social support, and involved family members. Key barriers included time constraints, childcare responsibilities, stigma toward mental health, and accessibility of the location of the intervention. Flexible delivery formats and modes, integration with routine child health services, and nonstigmatizing framing were identified as potential strategies to enhance engagement.

Journal Publisher
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences
Authors
Yuyin Xiao
Hanwen Zhang
Scott Rozelle
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Objective
Psychological factors shaping maternal diet remain underexplored, particularly in rural contexts. This study examined the associations of psychological symptoms with maternal dietary diversity in rural Western China.

Methods
This cross-sectional study included 2430 women (847 pregnant, 1583 postpartum) selected through multi-stage random cluster sampling. Dietary diversity was assessed using the Woman's Dietary Diversity Score, which was categorized into tertiles. Depression, anxiety, and stress symptoms were measured and integrated into a standardized composite psychological index. Multinomial logistic regression examined associations between psychological symptoms and dietary diversity adjusting for relevant covariates.

Results
In the full sample, using the lowest dietary diversity score tertile as the reference group, depression symptom was associated with lower odds of being in the high dietary diversity group (relative risk ratio [RRR] = 0.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.53–0.95). Anxiety and stress symptoms were associated with lower odds of being in both medium (anxiety: RRR = 0.74, 95% CI 0.58–0.95; stress: RRR = 0.64, 95% CI 0.46–0.89) and high (anxiety: RRR = 0.78, 95% CI 0.61–0.99; stress: RRR = 0.56, 95% CI 0.39–0.79) dietary diversity group. Higher composite index scores were consistently associated with lower odds of being in the medium (RRR = 0.86, 95% CI 0.78–0.95) and high (RRR = 0.83, 95% CI 0.75–0.93) dietary diversity group. Interaction analyses showed significant effects for depression, stress, and the composite psychological index (P for interaction <0.01), but not for anxiety (P for interaction = 0.954).

Conclusion
Psychological symptoms were inversely associated with maternal dietary diversity. Moreover, these associations varied by pregnancy status for depression, stress, and overall psychological distress. Findings support integrating psychological care into maternal nutrition programs in rural settings.

Journal Publisher
Journal of Affective Disorders
Authors
Alexis Medina
Scott Rozelle
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Stanford University Libraries and the Stanford Center on China’s Economy and Institutions are pleased to present the 2026 Dr. Sam-Chung Hsieh Memorial Lecture featuring Professor Chang-Tai Hsieh who will be speaking on The Risks of Taiwan's Economic Boom.

To attend in person, please register here.
To attend online, please register here.



Professor Hsieh will discuss how Taiwan's Central Bank has had a longstanding unstated policy of keeping the exchange rate undervalued to boost exports. The rise of Taiwan as the center of the semiconductor industry, and more generally as the center of AI hardware, is making this policy untenable. The trade surplus reached 20% of GDP in 2025 and is likely reach an astronomical 35% of GDP this year. Furthermore, much of the surplus has been channeled into purchases of US treasury bonds by Taiwan's life insurance industry that face collapse when the Taiwan dollar appreciates.
 


About the Speaker 

 

Chang-Tai Hsieh headshot.

Professor Hsieh is the Phyllis and Irwin Winkelreid Distinguished Service Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago. He is an elected member of Taiwan's Academia Sinica, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and the Econometric Society. He is also a two times recipient of the Sun Ye-Fang Award of China's Academy of Social Sciences.



The family of Dr. Sam-Chung Hsieh donated his personal archive to the Stanford Libraries' Special Collections and endowed the Dr. Sam-Chung Hsieh Memorial Lecture series to honor his legacy and to inspire future generations. Dr. Sam-Chung Hsieh (1919-2004) was former Governor of the Central Bank in Taiwan. During his tenure, he was responsible for the world's largest foreign exchange reserves, and was widely recognized for achieving stability and economic growth. In his long and distinguished career as economist and development specialist, he held key positions in multilateral institutions including the Asian Development Bank, where as founding Director, he was instrumental in advancing the green revolution and in the transformation of rural Asia. Read more about Dr. Hsieh.

Green Library, Bing Wing, 5th floor, Bender Room
459 Lasuen Mall, Stanford, CA 94305

Chang-Tai Hsieh, Professor of Economics, University of Chicago
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One Bed, Two Dreams: Why Joint Ventures So Often Fail in China

 

Please join us for an on-campus lecture and discussion led by author Kenneth Wilcox and moderated by SCCEI Senior Research Fellow Chenggang Xu.

Light refreshments will be served.


 

Kkenneth Wilcox headshot

Ken Wilcox is the author of “The China Business Conundrum: Ensure that Win-Win Doesn’t Mean Western Companies Lose Twice” (Wiley, November 2024) and “Leading Through Culture” (Waterside, 2020).

Ken was the CEO of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) from 2001 to 2011, then the CEO of SVB’s joint venture with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank (SPDB-SVB) in Shanghai until 2015, followed by four years as its Vice Chairman. He currently serves on the boards of the Asia Society of Northern California, the Asian Art Museum, and UC San Diego’s 21st Century China Center, as well as Columbia Lake Partners, a European venture-debt fund. He is on the Board of Advisors of the Fudan University School of Management in Shanghai and teaches as an Adjunct Professor at U.C. Berkeley.

Ken holds a PhD in German from Ohio State University and an MBA from Harvard Business School. He is a former member of the board of directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. He has given numerous speeches in both English and Chinese, published a variety of articles in the banking press, and recently wrote the management book “Leading Through Culture: How Real Leaders Create Cultures That Motivate People to Achieve Great Things” (Waterside Productions, 2020) and its accompanying workbook, “How About You?” (Waterside Productions, 2023). The father of two sons, he lives in San Francisco with his wife, Ruth, and several antique cars.

Goldman Room, Encina Hall, E409

Kenneth Wilcox, author and former CEO of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) 2001-2010
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Language development and the home language environment during early childhood are critical for long-term child outcomes. Caregiver mental health may influence early language outcomes directly, but it can also introduce perception bias, which refers to the discrepancies between caregiver self-assessments and the actual status of child language outcomes. This study examines the associations between caregiver mental health symptoms and (1) child language development and home language environment, and (2) caregiver perception bias in self-report assessments of child language development and home language environment. The study recruited 137 rural Chinese households with children aged 16–24 months. Objective measures of child language development and the home language environment were collected using Language Environment Analysis (LENA) technology. Caregiver perception biases were measured by the discrepancies between the objective and caregiver self-report measurements. Results show that caregiver anxiety and stress symptoms were linked to poor child language development, while symptoms of depression and anxiety were associated with less stimulating home language environment. Caregivers with depressive and anxiety symptoms tended to overestimate their children’s language development, and those with depressive symptoms also overestimated their own verbal inputs. These findings call for caution when implementing self-report assessments of early childhood development.

Journal Publisher
Scientific Reports
Authors
Tianli Feng
Hanwen Zhang
Scott Rozelle
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