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Postdoctoral Scholar, Stanford Center on China's Economy and Institutions
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Ph.D.

Yun Shen is a postdoctoral scholar at the Stanford Center on China's Economy and Institutions. Her research areas include maternal labor supply, childcare service, and early childhood development. She's currently focusing on research related to group-based interventions in early childhood development and caregivers' mental health in rural China. She received her Ph.D in Agricultural Economics from Zhejiang University. Yun is an expert on Friends and The Office.

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Visiting Postdoctoral Scholar, Stanford Center on China's Economy and Institutions
Postoctoral Fellow, China Academy for Rural Development and the School of Public Affairs, Zhejiang University
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Xiaoyun Wei is a visiting Postdoctoral Scholar at Stanford University. She obtained her Ph.D. in Economics from Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, in 2023 and is now working as a Postoctoral Fellow at the China Academy for Rural Development and the School of Public Affairs, Zhejiang University. Her research focuses on development and agricultural economics. Her recent work studies migration and rural land transfer, agricultural mechanization through service purchases, and the evaluation of poverty alleviation policies in China.

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Encina Hall, East Wing, Room 413

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Wednesday, 1/15, 1/29, 2/12 | 2:00-5:00 PM 
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Skyline Scholar (2025), Stanford Center on China's Economy and Institutions
Professor of Economics, Noranda Chair in Economics and International Trade, University of Toronto
Research Fellow, IZA
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PhD

Loren Brandt is the Noranda Chair Professor of Economics at the University of Toronto specializing in the Chinese economy. He is also a research fellow at the IZA (The Institute for the Study of Labor) in Bonn, Germany. He has published widely on the Chinese economy in leading economic journals and been involved in extensive household and enterprise survey work in both China and Vietnam. With Thomas Rawski, he completed Policy, Regulation, and Innovation in China’s Electricity and Telecom Industries (Cambridge University Press, 2019), an interdisciplinary effort analyzing the effect of government policy on the power and telecom sectors in China. He was also co-editor and major contributor to China’s Great Economic Transformation (Cambridge University Press, 2008), which provides an integrated analysis of China’s unexpected economic boom of the past three decades. Brandt was also one of the area editors for Oxford University Press’ five-volume Encyclopedia of Economic History (2003). His current research focuses on issues of entrepreneurship and firm dynamics, industrial policy and innovation and  economic growth and structural change.

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Purpose: This mixed-methods study examined how differences in parental time, knowledge, and economic constraints, as well as community socioeconomic contexts, may contribute to differences in home language environment and child language ability outcomes between peri-urban and rural households in China.

Method: We conducted an explanatory sequential mixed-methods analysis using data from 158 children aged 18–24 months among peri-urban and rural households with low socioeconomic status (SES) in southwestern China. Audio recordings were collected from each household and analyzed using the Language ENvironment Analysis system. The Mandarin version of the MacArthur–Bates Communicative Development Inventories was administered to each child's primary caregiver. We also conducted qualitative interviews with primary caregivers in 31 peri-urban and 32 rural households. Interviews were recorded, transcribed, and coded.

Results: The quantitative results reveal that children in peri-urban households heard less adult speech and had lower language ability than children in rural households. Directed content analysis of interviews found that peri-urban caregivers faced more severe time constraints and less favorable community socioeconomic contexts than rural primary caregivers. Taken together, these findings suggest that differences in time constraints and community socioeconomic contexts between the two populations are the most likely factors contributing to the inferior language environment and language ability among children in peri-urban households.

Conclusion: The mixed-methods study indicated that parental time constraints and community socioeconomic contexts should be considered alongside SES for a comprehensive understanding of factors influencing parental investment in the home language environment in China.

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Language, Speech, and Hearing Services in Schools
Authors
Xinwu Zhang
Xiyuan Jia
Zhaofeng Pang
Jingruo Guo
Tianli Feng
Tianli Feng
Andrew Rule
Scott Rozelle
Scott Rozelle
Yue Ma
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A growing body of literature explores the effect of higher education on the urban–rural divide in China. Despite an increasing number of rural students gaining access to college, little is known about their performance in college or their job prospects after graduation. Using nationally representative data from over 40,000 urban and rural college students, we examine rural students’ college performance and estimate the impact of rural status on students’ first job wages in comparison to their urban peers. Our results indicate that once accepted into college, rural students perform equally as well, if not better, than their urban counterparts. Additionally, we discovered that rural students earn a 6.2 per cent wage premium compared to their urban counterparts in their first job after graduation. Our findings suggest the importance of expanding access to higher education for rural students, as it appears to serve as an equalizer between urban and rural students despite their significantly different backgrounds.

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The China Quarterly
Authors
Huan Wang
Huan Wang
Claire Cousineau
Claire Cousineau
Matthew Boswell
Matthew Boswell
Hongbin Li
Hongbin Li
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We study how an elite college education affects social mobility in China. China provides an interesting context because its college admissions rely mainly on the scores of a centralized exam, a system that has been the subject of intense debate. Combining the data from a large-scale college graduate survey and a nationally representative household survey, we document three main findings.First, attending an elite college can change one’s fate to some extent. It raises the child’s rank in the income distribution by almost 20 percentiles. Nevertheless, it does not change the intergenerational relationship in income ranks or guarantee   one’s entry into an elite occupation or industry. Second, while elite college access rises with parental income, the disparity is less pronounced in China than in the United States. In China, top-quintile children are 2.3 times more likely to attend an elite college compared to bottom-quintile children, versus an 11.2-fold difference in the U.S. Third, the score-based cutoff rule in elite college admission is income neutral. Overall, these findings reveal both the efficacy and limitations of China’s elite colleges in shaping social mobility.

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Economic Development and Cultural Change
Authors
Ruixue Jia
Hongbin Li
Hongbin LI
Lingsheng Meng
Lingsheng Meng
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We estimate the wage premium associated with having a cadre parent in China using a recent survey of college graduates carried out by the authors. The wage premium of having a cadre parent is 15%, and this premium cannot be explained by other observables such as college entrance exam scores, quality of colleges and majors, a full set of college human capital attributes, and job characteristics. These results suggest that the remaining premium could be the true wage premium of having a cadre parent.

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Journal of Development Economics
Authors
Hongbin Li
Hongbin Li
Lingsheng Meng
Lingsheng Meng
Xinzheng Shi
Binzhen Wu
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This paper empirically investigates the labor market effects of China’s 2007 VAT reform, which significantly reduced the tax cost of capital investment. Employing city-by-year variation in the reform, we demonstrate that the tax cuts increased the earnings of skilled workers and left the earnings of the unskilled workers unaffected. Moreover, we find limited impacts of the reform on employment for both skill groups. These results suggest that the tax incentives increased the relative demand for skills, thus resulting in a higher income inequality between skilled and unskilled workers.

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Labour Economics
Authors
Hongbin Li
Hongbin Li
Lingsheng Meng
Lingsheng Meng
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China’s college admission increased by five times between 1998 and 2009. While the college premium for young workers declined, that for senior workers increased in this period. In our general equilibrium model, a rising demand for skills (education and experience) explains both trends. A demand shock leads to an expansion in the elastic college enrollment, depressing the college premium for young workers. With an inelastic supply, experienced college graduates continue to enjoy a rising premium. Despite the low immediate premium, young individuals continue to flood into colleges because they foresee high lifetime returns. Simulations match empirical results well.

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The Journal of Human Resources
Authors
Hongbin Li
Hongbin Li
James Liang
Binzhen Wu
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Despite private enterprises dominating China's labour market, college-educated workers are still highly concentrated in the state sector. Using data from the Chinese College Student Survey, we find that 64 per cent of students in the sample expressed a strong preference for state sector employment. We also identify several factors associated with receiving job offers from the state sector, including being male, holding urban hukou status, being a member of the CCP, performing well on standardized tests, attending elite universities and having higher household income or high-status parental backgrounds. These findings suggest that despite China's economic transition, the private sector may still struggle to attract highly educated workers.

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The China Quarterly
Authors
Hongbin Li
Hongbin Li
Lingsheng Meng
Lingsheng Meng
Yanyan Xiong
Sinclair L. Cook
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