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Policy Briefs
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One out of every three children under the age of 5 in developing countries lives in an environment that impedes human capital development. Children growing up in resource-poor settings are at an increased risk of early developmental delay due to risk factors such as being in environments that lack cognitive stimulation, nutrition, or care in the home environment. Given that early developmental deficits are difficult to reverse later in life, such deficits are key drivers of inequality and impediments for intergenerational mobility. This policy brief reviews this problem and then proposes a design of cost-effective, scalable, and sustainable parental training programs (focusing on psychosocial stimulation for young children) as a global strategy to improve the developmental opportunities of children before they reach the age of 5 in developing countries, to remediate social inequalities, and to boost long-term economic development. We present concrete policy recommendations for the implementation of such programs at scale.

Journal Publisher
Think 7 Japan 2023 Policy Paper
Authors
Scott Rozelle
Authors
Matthew Boswell
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News
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As part of SCCEI’s effort to build bridges between empirical China scholars in academia and China policy experts, SCCEI’s Impact Team attended the 13th Annual China Business Conference held in Washington, D.C. from May 9-10, 2023. Co-hosted by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the American Chamber of Commerce in Beijing, the conference has evolved into a critical platform for U.S. government officials, corporate leaders, and policy experts to explore and debate the dynamics of U.S.-China relations.

Washington DC capital building

The conference convened an impressive mix of attendees, including senior officials from the Departments of State and Commerce, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, Senators and Representatives central to shaping China policy in Congress, executives from multinational companies, and influential members of the beltway China-watching community. Dozens of panelists drawn from these ranks discussed a wide spectrum of issues facing the troubled U.S.-China relationship.

Several panelists expressed pessimism regarding China’s macro-economic outlook.  There was skepticism regarding the depth and durability of China's economic recovery in the post-Zero Covid era. Experts voiced concerns over the robustness of the recovery, casting doubt on whether it can be sustained over the long term. Furthermore, the debates pointed to an increasing consensus on the likelihood of a structural slowdown in China's growth.

Concerns were raised about the worsening climate for policy debate within China. There was reference to an uptick in reactionary policies and emerging "policy schizophrenia" from Beijing, leading to a less predictable policy environment. Panelists noted the mounting pressure for businesses operating in China to align with Beijing's political priorities, which may complicate the operating environment for foreign enterprises. There was a consensus that China's leadership is showing an increased willingness to take risks.

In the discussions centered on U.S. business in China, numerous challenges were highlighted. Regulatory uncertainties, the declining role of businesses in stabilizing U.S.-China relations, and mixed sentiments about the cost-benefit analysis of operating in China took center stage. Despite these hurdles, panelists emphasized the critical role of personal contacts and talent acquisition in navigating this complex landscape. They highlighted the need for U.S. companies to remain engaged in China, stressing the opportunities to learn from innovative Chinese companies, and the importance of success in the Chinese market for global competitiveness in certain sectors. Scenario planning around supply chain risks, market dependency risks, and U.S.-China regulatory uncertainties were advised.

Discussions on geopolitical risk also extended to the sensitive issue of Taiwan. There was a consensus among panelists about the imperative for the U.S. to avoid armed conflict with China and to establish guardrails around this increasingly contentious relationship. A defense department official reiterated US administration’s assessment that military conflict over Taiwan was not imminent or inevitable. In addition, some panelists also encouraged the U.S. administration to provide explicit assurances to Beijing that the U.S. does not support Taiwan independence and is willing to accept any outcome on Taiwan that is arrived at peacefully and that aligns with the interests of the people of Taiwan.

Members of Congress in attendance cited the need for "reciprocity" in relations with China and a collective "awakening" across the policy community to the troubling aspects of China's rise. They also explored the potential for including education, skills training, immigration reforms, and energy and military development in future legislation to bolster the U.S.'s competitiveness vis-à-vis China. Panelists deliberated on the possibility of new policy mechanisms, including an impending outbound investment screening regimen and additional tech export controls. Several panelists also cautioned against wholesale decoupling or US actions that would reinforce perceptions in China that relations are irreparable.

The business and policy making communities are both key audiences for the SCCEI Impact products, and the impact team participates in these events to contribute to and learn from debates among these leading stakeholders in the U.S.-China relationship. These conversations and exchanges of ideas facilitate a rich understanding of the dynamics at play, ensuring that the SCCEI's work remains informed, relevant, and impactful in informing discussions about China and the U.S.-China relationship.



Learn more about SCCEI Impact.

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Sunset view of high rises in Beijing, China.
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A Big Data China Event: “How Private Are Chinese Companies?”

Hosted in collaboration with the CSIS Trustee Chair in Chinese Business and Economics, this Big Data China event provided an overview of the latest data-driven research evaluating the influence of China’s party-state on China’s companies and their ability to maintain autonomy.
A Big Data China Event: “How Private Are Chinese Companies?”
Marc Tessier-Lavigne gives opening remarks at the 2023 Stanford Asia Economic Forum in Singapore.
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Stanford Asia Economic Forum Convenes to Explore “Our Shared Future”

Stanford alumni, faculty, and industry leaders met in Singapore to promote the exchange of ideas and mutual understanding between the U.S. and Asia
Stanford Asia Economic Forum Convenes to Explore “Our Shared Future”
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News

Experts Convene Roundtable to Discuss China’s Industrial Policy

The Stanford Center on China’s Economy and Institutions and Asia Society Policy Institute’s Center for China Analysis co-organized a closed-door roundtable on the scope, impact, and implications of China’s industrial policy and produced a summary report of the discussion.
Experts Convene Roundtable to Discuss China’s Industrial Policy
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SCCEI’s Impact Team attended the 13th Annual China Business Conference held in Washington, D.C. in May 2023. The team shares insights from the conference on issues raised surrounding the troubled U.S.-China relationship.

Authors
Heather Rahimi
News Type
News
Date
Paragraphs

This summer eight Stanford graduate students will advance their empirical research on China with financial support from the Stanford Center China’s Economy and Institutions (SCCEI).

One of SCCEI’s foundational pillars is to serve as a hub for Stanford students interested in China, providing mentorship, support, and opportunities for engagement that deepen their understanding of issues and possible solutions to the challenges of China’s economic development. Since our launch in January 2020 we have continued to grow our student engagement opportunities here on campus through faculty advising, bi-weekly research workshops, course offerings, and specialized academic events. This past spring, SCCEI launched our inaugural call for student research proposals, offering competitive funding to Stanford graduate students and postdoctoral scholars to fund research on contemporary issues related to China’s economy.

After extensive review and discussion, our committee selected eight students to award with funding to pursue their intended research projects. The students will be conducting research on topics spanning several disciplines, including economics, sociology, and political science. We spoke with each awardee to learn more about what they will be researching and why they are passionate about studying China. Here’s what they had to say:  


Matthew DeButts practices Chinese calligraphy.


Matthew DeButts, PhD Candidate in Communication

“China is an internally diverse, commonly misunderstood country with an unmatched dynamism and resiliency. I’m particularly excited to return to China for the first time since the pandemic, and am hopeful that my favorite Beijing coffee shops have survived.” 


Tianhao Hou portrait


Tianhao Hou, PhD Candidate in Sociology

“Little-know social norms, regulations, and rules in superficially chaotic Chinese politics have always fascinated me. This summer I will be investigating the decision making processes and moral judgments of local officials in China, focusing particularly on how morality affects discretion and its implications on state-society interactions.”


Leo Li photo


Leo Li, SPILS Fellow & Doctor of the Science of Law (JSD) Candidate

“I’m excited to pursue research on the Chinese court system, with a focus on the access to justice issues in debt collection lawsuits and the interplay between law and technology.” 


Victoria Liu headshot


Victoria Liu, PhD Candidate in Political Science

“I will be studying the current state of China’s Belt and Road Initiative. I’m planning on interviewing government officials, media staffers, researchers, and private entrepreneurs about their experience with Belt and Road promotion inside China. I hope to learn the political processes through which inward-facing promotion decisions are made, and the relevant interests that play into these decisions.” 


Jason Luo teaching


 Jason Luo, PhD Candidate in Political Science

“I’m motivated by the enduring pursuit of a more prosperous and freer future by the Chinese people and the complex and constantly changing landscapes of Chinese politics. I’m pursuing research on the political economy of information manipulation within autocratic systems, using evidence from China’s government procurement activities."


Xinyao Qiu headshot


Xinyao Qiu, PhD Candidate in Economics

“China has experienced rapid economic growth over the past few decades, but it has also seen a significant increase in education and income inequality. This is why my research investigates whether students from disadvantaged backgrounds face greater informational barriers when making educational choices in China.”


Ni Yan on Stanford campus


Ni Yan, PhD Candidate in Economics

“I’m excited to explore the topics of marriage and birth in Chinese society, given the unique policies China has adopted and surrounding them and the pressing issue of an aging population and decreasing birth rate.” 


Sally Zhang headshot


Sally Zhang, PhD Candidate in Economics

“Rural China provides a unique context with variation in family structures, with some new parents living with the paternal grandparents and some with the maternal grandparents.  My project studies why information can fail to spread within a household. I will be interviewing households in rural China to understand how they learn new information such as how to best care for infants, how they communicate with one another in the household, and how they make decisions together, especially when there is disagreement.”
 


In today’s climate, conducting research in China has become increasingly challenging. SCCEI hopes to provide not only financial support but also mentorship to new scholars breaking into the field of China studies. Several awardees plan to conduct their research on the ground in China this summer, but have hit bureaucratic barriers on both sides of the Pacific. SCCEI is helping these students navigate the system and ever changing requirements so that they too can pursue their research in the field and contribute to SCCEI’s mission to advance public understanding of China’s economy and its impact on the world. We are excited to follow up with all of the student awardees in the fall to hear more about what they were able to achieve this summer.

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SCCEI awarded the following eight Stanford graduate students with research grants: Jason Luo, Sally Zhang, Matthew DeButts, Xinyao Qiu, Ni Yan, Victoria Liu, Leo Li, and Tianhao Hou.
Stanford Center on China's Economy and Institutions
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This summer eight Stanford graduate students will advance their empirical research on China with financial support from the Stanford Center China’s Economy and Institutions.

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Journal Articles
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We study the effect of a victimization narrative on national identity and public opinion in China experimentally. Previous research has suggested that governments can shape public opinion by guiding citizens’ collective memories of historical events, but few studies have established a clear causal link. By conducting an online survey experiment among 1890 urban Chinese citizens, we examine the causal impact of historical narratives on political attitudes. We find that, compared to control conditions, a narrative focusing on China’s humiliating past in the late Qing significantly reinforces respondents’ attachment to the victim side of the Chinese national identity, raises suspicion of the intention of foreign governments in international disputes, stimulates preference for more hawkish foreign policies, and strengthens support for China’s current political system. These effects are particularly strong among respondents without a college degree.

Journal Publisher
Research & Politics
Authors
Yiqing Xu
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Journal Articles
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Significance
One fundamental issue in economic, psychological, and social sciences is whether and how much income truly brings happiness. This paper draws on twins data to examine whether income indeed affects happiness and estimates the size of such an effect. We control for unobserved genetic factors that may impact both income and happiness using identical twins, address measurement error bias, and conduct a series of robustness checks. Income has a much larger effect than previous estimates: doubling income boosts the four-scale happiness value by 0.26 scales or 0.37 SDs. Heterogeneity analyses suggest that income matters most for males and the middle-aged. Our findings emphasize the importance of income maintenance for individuals’ well-being.


Abstract
We estimate the causal effect of income on happiness using a unique dataset of Chinese twins. This allows us to address omitted variable bias and measurement errors. Our findings show that individual income has a large positive effect on happiness, with a doubling of income resulting in an increase of 0.26 scales or 0.37 SDs in the four-scale happiness measure. We also find that income matters most for males and the middle-aged. Our results highlight the importance of accounting for various biases when studying the relationship between socioeconomic status and subjective well-being.

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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS)
Authors
Hongbin Li
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Journal Articles
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This study utilizes semi-structured interviews to explore the status quo of teacher training of rural and urban public primary school teachers in Henan Province China. Our findings showed that both rural and urban teachers had very limited training opportunities available to them. Most of the participants did not find the current training opportunities useful in improving their teaching practices. Both rural and urban teachers desired training in pedagogy, educational psychology, and curriculum. Rural teachers particularly expressed the need for training in ICT and classroom management skills. Observing education experts’ demonstration classes is the most preferred training format. Policy implications are discussed.

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Educational Research for Policy and Practice
Authors
Scott Rozelle
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Journal Articles
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This study investigated the association between household characteristics, perceived family support (PFS), and the developmental outcomes (resilience, academic performance, and prosociality) among at-risk students. Our large sample included 1564 primary and secondary school students from poor rural China (M = 11.55 years old). Having a caregiver whose resilience score was in the top 50% of the sample was associated with a 0.48-point increase (or 0.31 d effect size), while having a migrant mother was correlated with a 0.26-point decrease (or 0.17 d effect size). PFS was a significant (p < 0.0001) mediator between household characteristics and developmental outcomes. Our study highlights the link between caregiver resilience and PFS, and the healthy functioning of disadvantaged students in a developing context.

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Current Psychology
Authors
Tom Kennedy
Scott Rozelle
Huan Wang
Xinshu She
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Journal Articles
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Parental investment in the home language environment during the earliest years is a critical predictor of early language development. Because most studies investigating the home language environment and child language development have been conducted in Western, high-income, and developed settings, less is known about such environments in low- or middle-income settings. This study was conducted in a peri-urban area in Southwestern China in a sample of 81 rural migrant and urbanized farmer families with children aged 18-24 months. The home language environment was measured using Language Environment Analysis (LENA) recorders and software, while early language development was measured using the MacArthur-Bates Communicative Developmental Inventories expressive vocabulary scale. Findings reveal large and substantial variation in the sample's home language environments and a strong association between the home language environment and child language development. Certain demographic characteristics, such as household resources, maternal employment, and gender, are associated with the home language environment. These findings highlight the needs for interventions specifically targeting the home language environment to improve early language development of young children and for more research on early childhood development in peri-urban China.

Journal Publisher
Early Childhood Research Quarterly
Authors
Tianli Feng
Scott Rozelle
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